Every number on this page is the percentage of prop bets these models would have won, based on historical evaluation, with the sample size and period stated for each one. Here is exactly how SharpSlap has performed, at every layer of the model.
AI Slaps are model-built parlays of 2 to 6 legs, one per size per week. These are the same 30-week historical records shown inside the product's own AI Slaps history panel — nothing different is shown to marketing than to subscribers.
| AI Slap | Historical record | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| 2-Leg | 25 / 30 weeks | 83.3% |
| 3-Leg | 22 / 30 weeks | 73.3% |
| 4-Leg | 21 / 30 weeks | 70.0% |
| 5-Leg | 15 / 30 weeks | 50.0% |
| 6-Leg | 13 / 30 weeks | 43.3% |
Hit rate is the percentage of these parlays that would have won — every leg landing on the correct side of its line. As you'd expect, hit rate falls as leg count rises — a 2-Leg slip only needs two legs to land, a 6-Leg slip needs all six. Pick the size that matches how much variance you want. See the live AI Slaps history inside the product (Edge plan) for the week-by-week chart.
SharpSlap runs 14 active production models, one per prop market. Each is measured on historical, out-of-sample predictions at its live qualification threshold — the same bar a pick has to clear to reach your board.
| Model | Historical accuracy | Qualifying N |
|---|---|---|
| TE Receptions | 74.5% | 98 |
| RB Rushing Attempts | 72.4% | 29 |
| TE Receiving Yards | 70.9% | 110 |
| RB Rushing Yards | 67.3% | 113 |
| QB Passing TDs | 65.6% | 64 |
| WR Receptions | 65.1% | 192 |
| QB Pass Attempts | 65.1% | 63 |
| WR Receiving Yards | 64.4% | 104 |
| QB Fantasy Points | 63.8% | 152 |
| WR Fantasy Points | 61.8% | 411 |
| RB Receptions | 60.8% | 97 |
| RB Receiving Yards | 60.5% | 238 |
| RB Fantasy Points | 59.6% | 292 |
| TE Fantasy Points | 53.7% | 54 |
"Out-of-sample" (OOS) means each model was scored on games it did not train on — the standard check for whether a model generalizes rather than having memorized its own training data. Read more on how the calibration and freezing process works on the methodology page, or how accuracy typically firms up in the days before kickoff on the blog.
Every historical number above exists so you can check it against the live board yourself. Create a free account and look at today's qualifying legs.
